Tuesday, 2 August 2011

optimal play - math on barreling

to have idea how bad is to cbet and be done w/ the hand - not to have a plan for the turn and riv.


  • if u cbet 0.75 flop psb, he risks 0.75 psb to win 1.75 flop psb.
    • -> u must double barrel at least 70% of the time to make ur opps floats b/e if u always x/f T ( and never x/c or x/c)
      • should be bit more in practise since his floats usually have 15-20% equity.
  • if he bets turn with his pure floats when u check to him, he loses much more if u x/c or x/r as when u double barrel!
    • -> turn double barrel fq +(2,5 * turn x/continuing fq) > 0.7 for 0.75 psb
      • (if he bets 0.75 turn psb when checked to)
and reverse spot - if i float him - 
  • if he always dubs or x/f T - my msr is 30%.
  • if I bet 0.75 turn psb w my float, I lose 1.875 flop psb (0.75*2.5) when he x/c or x/r
    • -> if I want to show a profit than:
T dub fq + (2.5*T check continuing fq) < 70%

    • if he x/f turn to a 1/3 T psb than:
T dub fq + (1.1*T check continuing fq) < 70%

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