Friday, 30 November 2012
equity vs playability
playability (as i understand it) is still a function of equity and the playability of a hand changes dramatically based on what board textures your opponent attacks or gives up on. Of course preflop equity matters, but it's a combination of that and how much of that equity you expect to realize over the course of the hand.
Thursday, 22 November 2012
regs like to bet/fold
"How do you identify bet-fold situations, besides the fairly obvious example of the player who raises a wide range preflop and then continuation bets all of the air?
It requires some hand reading skills.
You’re looking for situations where your opponents have a fairly weak betting range. One easy way to spot these situations against some TAGs is to use bet-sizing tells. Remember that many players will make extra-large bets on the late streets when they have a monster. Therefore, when these players don’t make a large bet, their betting range is weighted more toward weaker hands."
Monday, 19 November 2012
Internet on blinds defense
"i dont have a fixed answer, but you also need to take into account relative skill as well. For example if someone barrels 100% it's really easy, just see your flop equity + pot odds vs his range and then call 3 streets. Same goes for someone who is always checking down.
For someone with very good aggressive frequencies you should expect not to get to showdown that much. I think you would need at least 50-100% more pot odds than fold equity vs such a player.
You also need to think about playability of your hand. For example 94o has 36% equity vs an 80% opening range. But since playability is so poor you probably don't even get to realize your equity half the time. And if you only have 18% out of 36% equity, you can't call a minraise cos you get 23% pot odds.
On the other hand, with 96s you have 43.6% equity. Assuming you can realize at least 60% of your equity due to the playability of your hand and assuming you don't get owned by your opponent, you would have like 26% equity which is enough to call a minraise (23% pot odds).
It's quite difficult to quantify everything but you could try to "
...
"comparing K2o equity monster but playability trash to 75s equity trash but playability monster
K2 equity comes from Khi which is usually in the bluffcatcher region and tough to play, hence bad
For someone with very good aggressive frequencies you should expect not to get to showdown that much. I think you would need at least 50-100% more pot odds than fold equity vs such a player.
You also need to think about playability of your hand. For example 94o has 36% equity vs an 80% opening range. But since playability is so poor you probably don't even get to realize your equity half the time. And if you only have 18% out of 36% equity, you can't call a minraise cos you get 23% pot odds.
On the other hand, with 96s you have 43.6% equity. Assuming you can realize at least 60% of your equity due to the playability of your hand and assuming you don't get owned by your opponent, you would have like 26% equity which is enough to call a minraise (23% pot odds).
It's quite difficult to quantify everything but you could try to "
...
"comparing K2o equity monster but playability trash to 75s equity trash but playability monster
playability75s equity comes (at least more so than K2o) from straights and flushes which is usually in the nuts category and awesome to play. (and draws to those, that is better equity to play with because it turns into the nuts sometimes, rather than Khi equity, which turns into a river best hand Khi sometimes)"
truth
Deliberate practice is the key. This is the kind of practice that hurts. It's intensive, focused on making tiny step-by-step improvements in a very narrow area of one's game. It's uncomfortable, where you force yourself to target a specific skill that is just a micro-step beyond your current abilities. You are forced to slow down, make errors, and then correct them. That's how you get better.
Wednesday, 14 November 2012
too good
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/101/coaching-advice/systematic-training-drills-nlhe-1107105/
TUPAC back
The TUPAC method of mentally calculating equity
______________________________________________
1. Tally Up the hand combinations
2. Pair combos to known equities
3. Analyze unpaired combos
4. Combine the analysis to estimate.
Tally Up, Pair, Analyze Combine = TUPAC
Lets illustrate this method by analysing a hand using it, and using a traditional pen and paper/Pokerstove analysis of the same hand.
5/10 NLH 6
Max Game 100bb stacks
Co opens to 35, we 3 bet OTB to 125 with KsQs, SB/BB fold, CO calls.
Pot Size = 265
Flop: Kc 9c 8d
We cbet 200, Villain shoves for 875, the pot is 1340 and it costs us 675 to call.
We estimate Villains range to be AA, KK, 99, 88, AQ/AJ/AT/A8cc, 98s, JTs, 78c, 76s, QJ/QTcc
Pokerstove tells us that against this range we have 35% equity. Our EV calc shows that the EV of a call is +$30.25.
Using the TUPAC method
Step 1 : Tally Up Hand Combos
We break the hands into 3 categories. Hands that crush us, those we're flipping with, and those we're decent favourites over.
Crushing us: AA, KK, 99, 88 (13 hand combos)
Flipping: AQ/AJ/AT/A8/QJ/QT/JT/78/67cc (9 hand combos)
Favourites: 67s/JTs (6 hand combos) [ Not 8 becase JTcc/67cc are in the flipping section]
Other: 98s
Step 2 : Pair combos to known equities
By combining the equity of hands that have us crushed (~0% equity) vs those that we are flipping with (~50% equity) we can average the result to about 25-30% equity, depening on how badly we are crushed. If we combine the 9 combos that we are flipping with to 9 of the 15 combos that dominate us, and then take into account the fact thar there are 4 combos of crushing hands left over, we can estimate the result towards the middle of the 25/30% average, so about 27%.
Step 3 : Analyze unpaired combos
The combos we have not paired up are JTs/76s (6 combos) and the 98s.
There are 3 combos of 98s which we are a 3:1 dog against.
There are 3 combos of JTs which we are a 3:1 favourite against (as we have one of the outs)
We can use these to average each other out (this is an extension of step 2)
This leaves us with just the 67s, which we are about a 2:1 favourite over.
67s makes up abut 1/8th of Villains range (3 over the other 25 combos).
If we are a 2:1 favourite, 1/8th of the time, that adds about 8% equity to our total (66% of 12.5% = 8%)
Step 4 : Combine the analysis to estimate
Adding the estimates from earlier (27% plus 8%) it gives us about 35% equity against this range. Which is the same result as the Pokerstove analysis.
This may seem longwinded, but is actually a pretty simple way of estimating equitie at the table. This is a guideline on how to do so, a players thought process at the table might not be so accurate but might go something like this:
"When I get check raise all in, I doubt he ever has a pure bluff. I also don't think he has AK as he would 4 bet pre. I think his range is most likely sets, AA, two pair with 89, big draws and open ended straight draw. There are probably about 10 combos of big flush draws pre depending on how many suited Aces and suited broadway cards he calls out of position with. He probably has a set or AA about as often as he has a combo draw so I can average that part of his range out to somewhere about 25/30%. He can have me in bad shape with his two pair hands but he can have two OESD which I'm in decent shape against. Because he has more OESD combos than 2 pair combos, that pushes my equity up a few % points to aboout 33%. Because I'm getting 2 to 1 pot odds and have somewhere about 33% equity, I know this is a close situation and will have to rely on my read of how frustrating my opponent is and how wide his range is to make my decision."
______________________________________________
1. Tally Up the hand combinations
2. Pair combos to known equities
3. Analyze unpaired combos
4. Combine the analysis to estimate.
Tally Up, Pair, Analyze Combine = TUPAC
Lets illustrate this method by analysing a hand using it, and using a traditional pen and paper/Pokerstove analysis of the same hand.
5/10 NLH 6
Max Game 100bb stacks
Co opens to 35, we 3 bet OTB to 125 with KsQs, SB/BB fold, CO calls.
Pot Size = 265
Flop: Kc 9c 8d
We cbet 200, Villain shoves for 875, the pot is 1340 and it costs us 675 to call.
We estimate Villains range to be AA, KK, 99, 88, AQ/AJ/AT/A8cc, 98s, JTs, 78c, 76s, QJ/QTcc
Pokerstove tells us that against this range we have 35% equity. Our EV calc shows that the EV of a call is +$30.25.
Using the TUPAC method
Step 1 : Tally Up Hand Combos
We break the hands into 3 categories. Hands that crush us, those we're flipping with, and those we're decent favourites over.
Crushing us: AA, KK, 99, 88 (13 hand combos)
Flipping: AQ/AJ/AT/A8/QJ/QT/JT/78/67cc (9 hand combos)
Favourites: 67s/JTs (6 hand combos) [ Not 8 becase JTcc/67cc are in the flipping section]
Other: 98s
Step 2 : Pair combos to known equities
By combining the equity of hands that have us crushed (~0% equity) vs those that we are flipping with (~50% equity) we can average the result to about 25-30% equity, depening on how badly we are crushed. If we combine the 9 combos that we are flipping with to 9 of the 15 combos that dominate us, and then take into account the fact thar there are 4 combos of crushing hands left over, we can estimate the result towards the middle of the 25/30% average, so about 27%.
Step 3 : Analyze unpaired combos
The combos we have not paired up are JTs/76s (6 combos) and the 98s.
There are 3 combos of 98s which we are a 3:1 dog against.
There are 3 combos of JTs which we are a 3:1 favourite against (as we have one of the outs)
We can use these to average each other out (this is an extension of step 2)
This leaves us with just the 67s, which we are about a 2:1 favourite over.
67s makes up abut 1/8th of Villains range (3 over the other 25 combos).
If we are a 2:1 favourite, 1/8th of the time, that adds about 8% equity to our total (66% of 12.5% = 8%)
Step 4 : Combine the analysis to estimate
Adding the estimates from earlier (27% plus 8%) it gives us about 35% equity against this range. Which is the same result as the Pokerstove analysis.
This may seem longwinded, but is actually a pretty simple way of estimating equitie at the table. This is a guideline on how to do so, a players thought process at the table might not be so accurate but might go something like this:
"When I get check raise all in, I doubt he ever has a pure bluff. I also don't think he has AK as he would 4 bet pre. I think his range is most likely sets, AA, two pair with 89, big draws and open ended straight draw. There are probably about 10 combos of big flush draws pre depending on how many suited Aces and suited broadway cards he calls out of position with. He probably has a set or AA about as often as he has a combo draw so I can average that part of his range out to somewhere about 25/30%. He can have me in bad shape with his two pair hands but he can have two OESD which I'm in decent shape against. Because he has more OESD combos than 2 pair combos, that pushes my equity up a few % points to aboout 33%. Because I'm getting 2 to 1 pot odds and have somewhere about 33% equity, I know this is a close situation and will have to rely on my read of how frustrating my opponent is and how wide his range is to make my decision."
Tuesday, 6 November 2012
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)
.png)