Sunday, 29 December 2024

max value lines

min 3b w AQo in MP v 3x UTG open

flop QJ4r - plan is to extract max value from his Qx (AQ, 50% KQ, QTs, Q9s = 14 combos) on good runouts - is the pool going to call a river shove with any Qx ?

turn - 2c - once he snap calls - i am discounting his QJs, JJ, 44 (50% = 3-4 combos)

one from yesterday - 170bb deep:

3bet KK in MP v UTG

flop A66r  - bet small to get value from his PP's. (v unlikely to get raised here)

turned K set - now targeting his Ax - solver suggest B75% 

river - GTO is shoving brick rivers (opp should be folding 1/2 of his Ax to a shove - his Ax are indifferent to a call)

what's optimal river exploit sizing?


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