using stats

let’s say you’re playing 6m and some guy has 16% 3bet but your note says he showed up with AJo and KQo in SR pots. Then you can infer his 3betting range contains a whole lot of air and SC’s and very few broadway hands, because his value range is only 5.5% of hands(TT+,AJs+,KQs,AQo+) meaning there are 10.5% random other hands in his range. You should construct 3bet calling range to be all suited and offsuit broadways and also 4bet him frequently.

adjustment

The number one strategy I always utilise during my sessions is definitely adjustments. I think that’s my big strength in Poker and what I do better than most. I think a lot of people wait too long until they have adjust because they don’t really understand Bayesian probability. Basically, no matter what simple size you have, you can still make adjustments according to what you see, as long as any time you acquire new information, you keep adjusting. For example, I played a hand a few months ago where I had 76s HU, villain raised on the BTN, I flatted in the BB. The flop came down Q86 I c/c’d, turn was a T I checked, he checked behind, river was a 2 and I c/c’d, he had AT. At first I didn’t think much of it, but then I realized the extent of the adjustments I can make from it. I can infer his turn betting range is extremely polarized, as his value range is Qx+, therefore if he’s betting it at a high frequency he’ll be bluffing a lot, and if he’s betting it at a low frequency he will be value betting a lot. Therefore, I can make the adjustment to never raise his turn bet(because raising against a polarized range is mostly pointless; all better calls, all worse folds) and instead, raise his bet/check/bet line a lot, as it will include mostly weak 2nd pair hands he checked behind on the turn. Furthermore, if he’s betting turns polarized at a low frequency, I can c/c flops wider and expect to get to SD more often. This is just one example of the amount of information you can get from one hand.

Girah owns

Bluffing against amateur players in notoriously hard. Did you ever do this and how?
I think categorizing all amateur players as loose-passive calling stations is fairly dangerous and leads to sub-optimal lines and adjustments. When I play against amateur players, I generally shy away from broad, overreaching classifications like “calling station” or “aggro-fish” and try and make my reads more individualised and specific. I think fish playing styles vary a lot, and what I try to do is get inside their head/mind and try to understand the underlying thought process behind their “dumb” moves. So if they calldown my 3barrel in a 3b pot on T7892 with ace-high, rather than just getting frustrated and calling them loose-passive donks, I would try and make inferrences about how they think about Poker. In this case, they probably like the feeling of Hero-calling someone and that’s why they play so cally, so I want to give them the opportunity to make big calls for a lot of $: I might start overbetting more for thin value, and bluffing mostly in small pots. I can also infer they consider me to be aggressive, and they probably percieve my 3betting range to be mostly broadway cards, and my betting range on connected boards to be polarized. Immediately therefore, I can start to construct my ranges to exploit him, by flatting more broadway hands pre and 3betting more T8s 67s type stuff. I can also start depolarizing/tightening my betting ranges so that instead of my betting range on that board being JT+ and all gutters+, it becomes, A7+ and any 8+ out draw.

feels good

nothin special compared to other sickos tho

play your equity

kdyz mas dobrou handu, tak ji nepokladej bez solid readu. / hero folds
a opacne /hero calls

somebody testing me?

the run bad is just too long and its not getting any better. enjoying 80k+ b/e stretch. 75% FR, 25% 6max rush

feelin like tilting today, will try to stay strong

edit: tilt killer -> gym/run.. watch sum vid, 1 table rush. life's good again

+ micro's win rate killer -> spew

wtf happened to RUSH ?

is it just my impression/small sample ( couple weeks play though) that since black friday the games tightened up significantly?