Wednesday, 10 July 2024

exploitative 101


  • Players who don’t study GTO gameplay over-bluff more spots than you might think
  • Studying our continuing thresholds for common spots in equilibrium helps us identify which hands we will first need to adjust our strategy with to exploit their tendencies
  • Studying the GTO strategy of our opponents helps us identify where they might be deviating from it

fun exploits to try:

that 86o 3b v rec in SB open, followed by 1/4 pot cbet w near zero equity on AT7 mono. gotta be careful in case he's calling 3bets with offsuit Ax

Jako: aggressive in spots where population overfolds - The easiest example is if you think villain is range betting flop on a texture where they’re supposed to check high frequency, then they will struggle to appropriately defend their range if they face raise.

tight fold vs under-bluffed spot/line

randomising / multiple lines with the same EV

So I don't typically randomise - it's not really necessary in an anonymous pool particularly. I'll generally think about what theory will do and if I think there are multiple lines with the same EV I'll say that and then just pick one. Often though you'll get spots where two lines are ok in theory but one line is preferred as an exploit, in which case i'll take that line 100% of the time. 

micro stakes imbalances:

- equity driven betting

- not enough bluffs when betting/raising > pot ? (betting 15 into 10, bluff needs to work 60% percent, opp getting 15/(15 + 25) = 37,5% on his call -> hero needs 37,5% bluffs in betting range

board coverage

are certain lines over or under saturated with certain hand classes?
for ex.:
- flush completing run outs - are they using a specific line for their FDs?
- paired flops
- top-heavy 3bet ranges (not enough SCs, wheel Aces)

-> that is why solver puts various hand classes in each line (in practice most humans tend to not do that -> they have a poor board coverage), so it can represent strong hands on a wide variety of boards

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