Bluffing
Overarching heuristics: (intuitively feel out an appropriate amount of aggression)
positions & board runout - determines how connected we should be to the board
MIMIC a hand that wants to bet, to tell consistent story
sticking to "good board / bad board" naturally keeps you to theoretically correct (!)
Exploit: "Discontinued Aggression": when opponent bets and then checks, they are often telling you "bluffing should make money for you here" -> bluffing should be the DEFAULT
(look at it from a "story-telling" perspective)
Draws
Always take your fold equity when you have a huge draw AND your opponent has a lot of potential folds
Hand reading and Visibility
A lot of players are far too often, too straightforward
JT3 BvB - if SB would bet his Jx but he checks back - BB can go 3 bets w a hand like KT
-> pay attention to the narrative, especial "discontinued lines"
-> one of the reasons for the "bet small everything" strat on the flop - to keep everything together, so you don't know where my weak hands are
Positional mechanics
As ranges get narrower, pocket pairs and suited cards are a higher portion of the range; hence, draws are more common postflop
As ranges get wider, there are more offsuit hands and lower proportion of st8s, flushes, sets and overpairs
- one pair hands go up in value:
- BvB overpair goes for stacks
- UTG v BB overpair: 3 bets
Hand selection PF
playing fluffy / marginal hands not in PF charts:
- 3betting 33 in SB v BB - zero-ish EV - any reason you want, go ahead and play it (you're board; you think you have an edge,..)
Random bits
playing KK post-flop metaphor https://upswingpoker.com/pocket-kings-postflop-philosophy/
"Continuously re-evaluating your hand’s strength based on the board texture and betting action is a core principle of strong poker."
SRP vs 3bet pot heuristics
- ppl are much more aware in 3bet pots - in SRP they play much more face up (in terms of bet sizing tells,..)
- when pots get really big, they are hyper-focused, hyper-aware - they don't tank and do weak sizing with a weak hand
Nuances
Board with multiple high cards - all hands get devalued: - ppl play every suited Ax and Kx - suddenly every 2 pair is on the table
River bluff bet sizing heuristic 8:20 minute
(BB v BU call, we x/c T74r, turn 3 x/x, J river:
- we need to decide what hand are we repping to have - a T or 7 = bet small | 98 or 65 = bet big. or bet small, get raised by a Jack and shove! :)
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