Uri: C-betting OOP vs a Cold Caller

quick strat tip - OOP facing IP cold call:

-> just check everything!

it's a strategy that a lot of High stakes regs are using!

in x/x lines, oop overpairs will be in much better shape

P Antonius sicko bluff - Uri breakdown - Spot dynamics Heuristics

 spot dynamic breakdown

[“Mississipi bluff” - call call shove over his river bet]

spot dynamic heuristics:

Q77r 5 4 

– Andy shouldn’t be aiming for a big pot here with KK (deep):

• Andy has premium range - big pairs, overcards - doesn’t want to create a huge pot on this board

• Patrik called pre, so he’s got more 7x

This is the difference between: Equity advantage X Nut advantage. Can see this in sims

Even if you have an equity advantage, you don’t pile in money

It’s Patrick’s responsibility to pile in money

quick & dirty PF All-in Equity vs tight/premium only ranges

JJ vs QQ+, AK - 36%

AK vs QQ+, AK - 40%

JJ vs TT-QQ, AK - 53%

JJ vs JJ-KK, AK - 38%

JJ vs JJ-KK, AK, A5s - 42%

bunch of counter-intuitive spot dynamics (BB v BU) - Explained!

 Giraffe gives a good theory / mechanics / heuristics lecture:

(1) counter-intuitive spot dynamics on dry Kxx boards (BB v BU) - explained

(2) not betting big enough when our opponent is capped

https://youtu.be/rZ4p0HaGUZw?si=COm48OmISnPb4nI6

(3) good heuristics on how to pick your turn bluffs:

https://youtu.be/rZ4p0HaGUZw?si=3STo4I_yTveHStac&t=623

- look at the solver and pick the easy, obvious parts of the bluffing strategy

even if opp is overfolding - we still don't want to size down. our bluffs are now making even more money - so just bluff more?

plus even at low stakes, pool is overfolding less than we think

Uri - Blueprint - Key Concepts / Heuristics [re-read]

Bluffing

Overarching heuristics: (intuitively feel out an appropriate amount of aggression)

positions & board runout - determines how connected we should be to the board

MIMIC a hand that wants to bet, to tell consistent story

sticking to "good board / bad board" naturally keeps you to theoretically correct (!)

Exploit: "Discontinued Aggression": when opponent bets and then checks, they are often telling you "bluffing should make money for you here" -> bluffing should be the DEFAULT

(look at it from a "story-telling" perspective)

Draws

Always take your fold equity when you have a huge draw AND your opponent has a lot of potential folds

Hand reading and Visibility

A lot of players are far too often, too straightforward

JT3 BvB - if SB would bet his Jx but he checks back - BB can go 3 bets w a hand like KT

-> pay attention to the narrative, especial "discontinued lines"

-> one of the reasons for the "bet small everything" strat on the flop - to keep everything together, so you don't know where my weak hands are

Positional mechanics

As ranges get narrower, pocket pairs and suited cards are a higher portion of the range; hence, draws are more common postflop

As ranges get wider, there are more offsuit hands and lower proportion of st8s, flushes, sets and overpairs

• one pair hands go up in value:
• BvB overpair goes for stacks
• UTG v BB overpair: 3 bets

Hand selection PF

playing fluffy / marginal hands not in PF charts:

- 3betting 33 in SB v BB - zero-ish EV - any reason you want, go ahead and play it (you're board; you think you have an edge,..)

Random bits

playing KK post-flop metaphor  https://upswingpoker.com/pocket-kings-postflop-philosophy/

"Continuously re-evaluating your hand’s strength based on the board texture and betting action is a core principle of strong poker."

SRP vs 3bet pot heuristics

- ppl are much more aware in 3bet pots - in SRP they play much more face up (in terms of bet sizing tells,..)

- when pots get really big, they are hyper-focused, hyper-aware - they don't tank and do weak sizing with a weak hand

Nuances

Board with multiple high cards - all hands get devalued: 

- ppl play every suited Ax and Kx - suddenly every 2 pair is on the table

River bluff bet sizing heuristic 8:20 minute

(BB v BU call, we x/c T74r, turn 3 x/x, J river: 

- we need to decide what hand are we repping to have - a T or 7 = bet small | 98 or 65 = bet big. or bet small, get raised by a Jack and shove! :)

One card is NOT the same as two card STR8 / Flush

https://members.upswingpoker.com/courses/blueprint-in-action/lessons/what-are-straights-and-flushes-worth/

card removal effect intuition

v cool  combinatorics puzzle from Tombos21

and this fundamental one:

A Beginner’s Guide to Poker Combinatorics