Friday, 7 December 2012

on mastery

There are two other major elements researchers have found when it comes to attaining mastery. They are, famously, 10,000 hours of deliberate practice, and an experienced mentor. 

Saturday, 1 December 2012

opp modeling

"When you are observing your opponent, try to pay attention to every spot, and consciously try to generalize what that spot tells you about his play in general. That is, look at specifics, and try to see how they fit into the overall pattern of his strategy or tendencies. Again, this does not happen automatically – or if it does, it does so very weakly. Force yourself to actively and thoroughly process all of the information you’re receiving – to notice it, interpret it, and update your mental model of your opponent.

One of the best ways to do this is by talking through it (either aloud, or in your head). For example, if you see someone is checking back lots of draws on the turn, tell yourself “he is checking back lots of draws on this turn, which means he’s fairly risk-averse, he’s not semi-bluffing much, his range is strongly weighted toward value, I should be willing to put him on draws by the river,” and so on."

Friday, 30 November 2012

equity vs playability

playability (as i understand it) is still a function of equity and the playability of a hand changes dramatically based on what board textures your opponent attacks or gives up on. Of course preflop equity matters, but it's a combination of that and how much of that equity you expect to realize over the course of the hand.

Thursday, 22 November 2012

regs like to bet/fold


"How do you identify bet-fold situations, besides the fairly obvious example of the player who raises a wide range preflop and then continuation bets all of the air?

It requires some hand reading skills.

You’re looking for situations where your opponents have a fairly weak betting range. One easy way to spot these situations against some TAGs is to use bet-sizing tells. Remember that many players will make extra-large bets on the late streets when they have a monster. Therefore, when these players don’t make a large bet, their betting range is weighted more toward weaker hands."

Monday, 19 November 2012

Internet on blinds defense

"i dont have a fixed answer, but you also need to take into account relative skill as well. For example if someone barrels 100% it's really easy, just see your flop equity + pot odds vs his range and then call 3 streets. Same goes for someone who is always checking down.

For someone with very good aggressive frequencies you should expect not to get to showdown that much. I think you would need at least 50-100% more pot odds than fold equity vs such a player.

You also need to think about playability of your hand. For example 94o has 36% equity vs an 80% opening range. But since playability is so poor you probably don't even get to realize your equity half the time. And if you only have 18% out of 36% equity, you can't call a minraise cos you get 23% pot odds.

On the other hand, with 96s you have 43.6% equity. Assuming you can realize at least 60% of your equity due to the playability of your hand and assuming you don't get owned by your opponent, you would have like 26% equity which is enough to call a minraise (23% pot odds).

It's quite difficult to quantify everything but you could try to "
...

"comparing K2o equity monster but playability trash to 75s equity trash but playability monster


K2 equity comes from Khi which is usually in the bluffcatcher region and tough to play, hence bad 
playability75s equity comes (at least more so than K2o) from straights and flushes which is usually in the nuts category and awesome to play. (and draws to those, that is better equity to play with because it turns into the nuts sometimes, rather than Khi equity, which turns into a river best hand Khi sometimes)"

truth

Deliberate practice is the key. This is the kind of practice that hurts. It's intensive, focused on making tiny step-by-step improvements in a very narrow area of one's game. It's uncomfortable, where you force yourself to target a specific skill that is just a micro-step beyond your current abilities. You are forced to slow down, make errors, and then correct them. That's how you get better.

Wednesday, 14 November 2012

too good

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/101/coaching-advice/systematic-training-drills-nlhe-1107105/

TUPAC back

The TUPAC method of mentally calculating equity
______________________________________________

1. Tally Up the hand combinations
2. Pair combos to known equities
3. Analyze unpaired combos
4. Combine the analysis to estimate.

Tally Up, Pair, Analyze Combine = TUPAC

Lets illustrate this method by analysing a hand using it, and using a traditional pen and paper/Pokerstove analysis of the same hand.


5/10 NLH 6
Max Game 100bb stacks
Co opens to 35, we 3 bet OTB to 125 with KsQs, SB/BB fold, CO calls.

Pot Size = 265
Flop: Kc 9c 8d

We cbet 200, Villain shoves for 875, the pot is 1340 and it costs us 675 to call.

We estimate Villains range to be AA, KK, 99, 88, AQ/AJ/AT/A8cc, 98s, JTs, 78c, 76s, QJ/QTcc

Pokerstove tells us that against this range we have 35% equity. Our EV calc shows that the EV of a call is +$30.25.

Using the TUPAC method

Step 1 : Tally Up Hand Combos

We break the hands into 3 categories. Hands that crush us, those we're flipping with, and those we're decent favourites over.

Crushing us: AA, KK, 99, 88 (13 hand combos)
Flipping: AQ/AJ/AT/A8/QJ/QT/JT/78/67cc (9 hand combos)
Favourites: 67s/JTs (6 hand combos) [ Not 8 becase JTcc/67cc are in the flipping section]
Other: 98s

Step 2 : Pair combos to known equities

By combining the equity of hands that have us crushed (~0% equity) vs those that we are flipping with (~50% equity) we can average the result to about 25-30% equity, depening on how badly we are crushed. If we combine the 9 combos that we are flipping with to 9 of the 15 combos that dominate us, and then take into account the fact thar there are 4 combos of crushing hands left over, we can estimate the result towards the middle of the 25/30% average, so about 27%.

Step 3 : Analyze unpaired combos

The combos we have not paired up are JTs/76s (6 combos) and the 98s.

There are 3 combos of 98s which we are a 3:1 dog against.
There are 3 combos of JTs which we are a 3:1 favourite against (as we have one of the outs)
We can use these to average each other out (this is an extension of step 2)

This leaves us with just the 67s, which we are about a 2:1 favourite over.
67s makes up abut 1/8th of Villains range (3 over the other 25 combos).
If we are a 2:1 favourite, 1/8th of the time, that adds about 8% equity to our total (66% of 12.5% = 8%)

Step 4 : Combine the analysis to estimate

Adding the estimates from earlier (27% plus 8%) it gives us about 35% equity against this range. Which is the same result as the Pokerstove analysis.

This may seem longwinded, but is actually a pretty simple way of estimating equitie at the table. This is a guideline on how to do so, a players thought process at the table might not be so accurate but might go something like this:

"When I get check raise all in, I doubt he ever has a pure bluff. I also don't think he has AK as he would 4 bet pre. I think his range is most likely sets, AA, two pair with 89, big draws and open ended straight draw. There are probably about 10 combos of big flush draws pre depending on how many suited Aces and suited broadway cards he calls out of position with. He probably has a set or AA about as often as he has a combo draw so I can average that part of his range out to somewhere about 25/30%. He can have me in bad shape with his two pair hands but he can have two OESD which I'm in decent shape against. Because he has more OESD combos than 2 pair combos, that pushes my equity up a few % points to aboout 33%. Because I'm getting 2 to 1 pot odds and have somewhere about 33% equity, I know this is a close situation and will have to rely on my read of how frustrating my opponent is and how wide his range is to make my decision."

Wednesday, 24 October 2012

barreling 2

"If you bet a street, and the thought of barreling 70% (or an equivalent combination of barreling, check-calling and check-raising) on the next street will make you feel sick, almost regardless of which card falls, you are probably betting too much on the current street"

"preflop raiser OOP - we're committing ourselves to a certain amount of betting, check-calling and check-raising on the next street. If we're not willing to do this, we're opening ourselves up for getting exploited by loose floating by a player with position on us."

Sunday, 21 October 2012

barreling

 defense strategy against flop floats can be generalized to:
2-barrel% + 1.75 x check-continue% = 70%

( We have here assumed that Bob always loses the hand when he bets the turn and Alice doesn't fold. Note that we are ignoring the equity of Bob's hand, and we assume that he never wins a showdown after Alice check-calls the turn. Bob is always behind when this happens, he never improves to the best hand on the river, and he never bluffs the river. These are simplifying assumptions, but this is fine when we're modeling a situation.
Also, keep in mind that sometimes Alice bets or check-calls the worst hand, and then she draws out on the river. So as a first approximation we can assume that these two effects cancel out. )

(On these (low dry) flops we'll often get a call-down scenario where the raiser c-bets any two cards on the flop, and then the preflop flatter sits in position with a medium/weak range of mostly one pair hands and overcards. usually the caller is not strong enough to raise anywhere along the way, so he will often be faced with a call/fold decision on every street those times the raiser fires multiple barrels.

What typically happens when two good, thinking players clash in this type of scenario is that both will be playing wide ranges on the flop (the raiser c-bets a lot and the player in position flats a lot). Then both players drop many (but not all) of their bluffs, floats and weak one pair hands on the turn, and then again on the river. And both players are trying to prevent the other player from bluff-barreling/floating profitably with any two cards on any street.)

Monday, 15 October 2012

post flop skills

" our goal is not to memorize everything, but to design a training method for postflop play."

"For each particular flop, we write out our complete flop strategy. By repeating this process over and over on many different flop textures, patterns will begin to emerge, and the thought processes will become more and more automatic. Through repetition we will slowly build knowledge and feel for how to play on different flop types."

"So the purpose of our work is to define the necessary theory, plus design a training method that you can work with on your own. The more you practice postflop play away from the table, the faster you'll learn, and the better your understanding of optimal postflop play will become. As a bonus, you will get a much better understanding of your own default preflop ranges, and how these interact with flops."
"I have already tested the optimal 3/4/5-bet strategies at the middle limits ($400NL to $1000NL), and they work very well as solid defaults, and as a starting point for exploitative adjustments against players I have reads on."

Thursday, 11 October 2012

on exploiting

theory:

To exploit a non-optimal strategy maximally, we have to make extreme adjustments. Even if the mistake we're exploiting isn't extreme.

practice:

Moderate Adjustments:

But if you think they will catch on and fight back more, you might be better of in the long run showing some moderation. 

Your task is then to find a sweet spot that balances your desire to steal a lot with your desire to keep your opponent in a tight state where you can continue to steal a lot.
So on the long run it might be better for you to steal something like 80%, and fold the absolute garbage hands like 83o, 62o, etc. They might be profitable opening hands in isolation, here and now, but if you open 100% of your hands, your profit from stealing on the button might decrease in the long run.

Saturday, 6 October 2012

Tuesday, 2 October 2012

working w ranges in practise

G flow
We still need to keep our thoughts efficient. Too many combos and we will waste our timebank and block other possible EV+ thoughts. An extreme example is PLO: there are far too many combos to ever get specific here: we have to make groupings of combos. Yet some grouping systems are better than others: those that have specifically looked at the combinations that make up a range are more realistic, and hence lead to better decisions. As in Hold Them, we are going to have to group hands together somewhat at the table, but every bit of specificity can help us work out situations. E.g. if we have the Ace of the flush on the board, we can reduce a lot of combos out of their range. These situations don't come up every hand, but they are a legitimate way to improve edge. Doing combo counting drills can help shape your groupings to be more useful than just: nuts, bluff, medium.

pre - sess boost

..(vids/ notes/ fire jams/..) that will boost me up into that gritty prize-fighting state. When I sit down at the table, I want to be there to crush that specific guy sitting across from me, using all the information flowing from the table and the best concepts I have to maximise my winning. 

Sunday, 30 September 2012

Intensity


Since your current struggling to get your intensity up, I suggest writing out some goals for competition and for how pool fits in your life now. Why are acheiving these important to you? What do you want to get out of the game? What's driving you?
Write these answer out, review/revise/reread them regularly, and especially before you compete. Then, when you find your energy level dropping, Inject Goals, like I suggest Injecting Logic in the book. Dig deep, and connect deeply with these goals, and you'll find a boost of energy and focus that will increase your level of intensity.

MOTIVATION 101

* lack of motivation is the result of not having anythin to learn
* bored & feels like a grind

-> find things to learn. develop a process of doin it consistently

Friday, 28 September 2012

"I know alot of this might seem like holy fucking shit why are you thinking about this shit so much but this is basically the strategy I used besides running good to make me 450k lol which I have gone away from. The basic idea to minmize your variance/hands you play/spots you get in vs the really good players (in and oop) and instead focus a majority of your efforts on only the weak player in the lineup and how you can take his money the fastest and most efficient and be on to the next one."

Monday, 24 September 2012

blinds facing open from any position

vs UTG we can use same as vs MP

Minimum ~4% blind defense strategy heads-up against an MP (20%) open-raise
The minimum 4% defense is covered by:




  • 3-bet {KK+} for value together with 20% of "OOP 3-bet air list"
  • Flat {QQ,AK}
  • This gives ~4% total defense

Alternatively

  • 3-bet {QQ+,AK} for value together with 50% of "OOP 3-bet air list"
  • This gives 6% total defense

Minimum ~7% blind defense strategy heads-up against a CO (25%) open-raise
The minimum 7% blind defense is covered by:

  • 3-bet {QQ+,AK} for value together with 50% of "OOP 3-bet air list"
  • Flat {JJ-TT,AQ}
  • This gives ~8% total defense

Minimum ~16% blind defense strategy heads-up against a button (35%) open-raise
The minimum 16% blind defense is covered by:

  • 3-bet {TT+,AQ} for value together with 100% of "OOP 3-bet air list"
  • Flat the whole "OOP flat list": {99-77,AJs-ATs,AJo,KTs+,KQo,QJs,JTs} =70 combos
  • This gives ~17% total defense

Cliffs: its very hard to exploit blinds from EP, so you shouldnt worry too much about defense.

Wednesday, 19 September 2012

facing 3bet OOP // facing open IP

optimal strategy pairs for various open-ranges OOP (Alice), together with Bob's lists of 3-bet-bluff hands and flatting hands IP:




Alice opens 15%: Bob plays 15.8% (with 3-bet% =3.6%)
Alice opens 20%: Bob plays 17.0% (with 3-bet% =5.3%)
Alice opens 25%: Bob plays 19.2% (with 3-bet% =8.7%)
Alice opens 30%: Bob plays 19.5% (with 3-bet% =9.4%)
Alice opens 35%: Bob plays 20.3% (with 3-bet% =10.2%)
Alice opens 40%: Bob plays 20.3% (with 3-bet% =10.2%)

BTN open facing 3bet // blinds facing BTN open


optimal strat for opening 35% btn facing a 3bet:

4-bet {QQ+,AK} =34 combos for value
4-bet {ATo,A9s-A7s} =24 combos as a bluff
Flat {JJ-88,AQ-AJ,ATs,KQ-KJ,KTs,QJ,QTs,JTs} =120 combos


optimal strat for a villain facing my open:


- defend about 17% of the time (more when flatting)

- value 62 combos AQ+,TT+ (we 3bet/ 5bet these)
- flat 70 combos 
- bluff 100 combos (see Equilab stored range)

it's mostly button openraising that forces the blinds to defend very aggressively, and that we can play much tighter against raises from earlier positions

vs 2x btn open blinds have to defend 43% combined
vs 3x open its 33% combined (~17% each blind, BB should defend more)
^^ this is true when we defend by 3-betting. if we defend by flatting, we have to use 1.5 call multiplier, because we let btn see flop and realize some equity.

Monday, 17 September 2012

live pokers srs knowledge

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/19/high-stakes-pl-nl/2000-random-shyt-457839/

new table routine:
1. I look around the room and figure out which table I want to be at
2. I sit down and buy in for the amount of the the loosest player at the table
3. If I don’t know anybody I buy in for 70 BB’s
4. I watch very closely and try to come up w/ an individual plan for how im going to break every player at the table. The plan includes a lot of factors but im really keen on whether the player is a “fit or fold” type, what the players weakest holding they’ll go broke with are, what the player is capable of in regards to running bluffs and how many bets the player needs to see before he considers a bet “significant”
5. Now I might add more money…a lot more money.

defending 3bets ip by flatting / theory

great article : http://en.donkr.com/Articles/optimal-3-bet-4-bet-5-bet-strategies-in-nl-holdem-6-max---part-3-351

Friday, 14 September 2012

Wildly aggressive player who was very good at finding the places his opponents were too loose and relentlessly attacking their weak ranges. - Opponents who 3bet far too wide, aren't aware of it,..

equity distribution

polarized KK72r
smooth - JT98ds


  • All of the transitions between monster, strong, good, medium, weak and air flops are smooth
  • There are many situations where as a function of opp tendencies, SPR or several other factors we would like to be able to subtly adjust our thresholds for a particular action, such as x/raising, stacking off, floating or donking. With KK72r its difficult to do cos the hand is extremely inflexible. Conversely, JT98ds is comfortable in nearly every situation.



Thursday, 13 September 2012

hand review

dont stress misplayed/ meh hands which occur w very low frequency

Wednesday, 12 September 2012

Tuesday, 11 September 2012

opponent's tendencies


- how good a hand reader is my opp?

-> if he's weak player and he's cbetting 90% and the board is K42r just raise right away and he's gonna fold cos he has air most of the time.

Monday, 10 September 2012

constructing ranges (repost)

let’s say you’re playing 6m and some guy has 16% 3bet but your note says he showed up with AJo and KQo in SR pots. Then you can infer his 3betting range contains a whole lot of air and SC’s and very few broadway hands, because his value range is only 5.5% of hands(TT+,AJs+,KQs,AQo+) meaning there are 10.5% random other hands in his range.You should construct 3bet calling range to be all suited and offsuit broadways and also 4bet him frequently.

Sunday, 9 September 2012

repost


  • the feeling of trying my absolute 100% and watching what transpires
  • play, and improve, and u will be rewarded. there are no shortcuts in this game
  • if u wanna get better u need to challange urself, dont be a bumhunter, crush the souls of every reg, they all suck, no one is good under 5/10 (no offence), some decent 200NL grinders, and alot of solid 400NL grinders out there for sure, but if they really were good they would have played higher already, and the good ones, that plays lower probably 16+ table to maximise their hourly so they are all just solid nits whom are not much to fear

Sunday, 26 August 2012

my August C-game mistakes

http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/982815
VB smaller like 1/4 pot , ez fold to raise vs tight player

http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/982816
again, bet/fold like 1/4 pot..


homework

Doing quick, but regular hand reviews with Flopzilla/CREV is much better than spending too much time on 1 hand and doing it very infrequently.



Tuesday, 21 August 2012

random

general consensus of poker players/ poker forums/ is outdated as fuck / stay sharp/ recognize how the game plays / own game

Thursday, 9 August 2012

TT knowledge

river_bluff_combinatorics,_50nl

Try reraising the flop instead of flatting, run some math on his c-bet range vs the range he will bet/fold to a rearise - furthermore by reraisng the flop you can rep spades, A on turn is good, you also can make hearts like in the hand above. rerasising the flop is cheaper + you have a ton of immiediate fold equity + you can bluff turns more credibly (like a spade)

--> this. u can bluff raise dry boards and than rep FD when it gets there..
imo its actually great flop to bluff raise w our particular hand... cos hes not gonna put us on BDFD when hearts get there, so implied odds are huge

Wednesday, 8 August 2012

fact


one of the biggest mistakes

- when you fold the best hand on late streets

- folding nuts on the flop much <<<<<< smaller mistake than folding on the river

-->> proper 3 barreling & proper plan for the remaining streets on the flop == huge winrate boost !!

Tuesday, 7 August 2012

on playing vs fish


"vs those crazy loose players u might stack off way too light when they tighten up on the turn & river.." !!

Monday, 6 August 2012

bluff cbet 1/3 pot vs fish seems to be the nuts

 have to try this live

Friday, 3 August 2012



folding nuts in 3bet pot after calling 2 streets <<<< much smaller mistake than not stealing enough BvB
-> because it occurs w much higher frequency

Internet on why A9o >> 87s vs BTN 3bet call


"Domination" is a very out dated concept in my opinion. I don't really ever use it as justification of a play anymore. What matters is equity and playability. Domination implies bad playability to some extent. But A9o is an equity powerhouse. Just poker stove vs standard 3bet-calling ranges. A9o outperforms 87s by a mile."

Internet on opening bet sizes

Secondly the people behind you. If you have bit nits who fold for small amounts, just minraise 100% of cutoffs and button and collect all the blinds. If you have loose passive fish behind, you want to raise bigger, reason should be obvious. And thirdly your hand strength. In general you shouldn't correlate hand strength to bet size in a predictable manner, but sometimes, especially with fish behind, you should do it. Fish in the BB, you are CO with KK? Jack it up to 4bb. You are SB with 84s? Just minraise.

Thursday, 2 August 2012

attitude

it is absolutely key that i'm always improving my game. Mastery is something that makes me happy and gives me something to strive for.


Also i have a 'no fucks given' attitude. I'm not sure how to integrate this into your personality. 

Sunday, 22 July 2012

handling aggr from fish

the logic here is that there is no logic, we have the top of our range vs opponents who are clicking buttons. Trying to put irrational players on hands is a nightmare, the best approach is to just play your equity against them

Saturday, 21 July 2012

quality


http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/978779
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/978778

srs knowledge

this thread is just too good:


what i mean is that im making assumptions about a player thought process and what he would do/how he would play a hand and then i go for it 100% if thats what i think in the moment, sometimes its wrong but then its just to adjust to it, and it frequently changes as dynamic grows but atleast its a way of making decisions for me, and i never feel lost pretty much because of that, its impossible to know in some situations against some players, actually it is most of the time

but u have to make decisions based on something atleast

Tuesday, 17 July 2012

You guys need to start thinking of your opponents as horrible, otherwise your gonna be stuck in this black hole of "he cant call with worse" - people who think like that don't get far in this business

Sunday, 15 July 2012

fact - blinds defense

How often do the blinds need to defend combined to prevent the btn to open profitably ATC ?
(if they only defend by 3betting - if u defend by flatting u need to defend even more obv cos hes got to see 3cards and will realize some of his equity)

-> 37.5 % (2.5bb btn open)

Saturday, 7 July 2012

pf ranges

theres a 74 vpip fish in the blinds, im not folding anything pre if i have position, im flatting A8o and K9o on the button

Monday, 2 July 2012

opp tendencies

bluff raising cbets on dry "power" flop seems to work well vs regs with wide ranges.

Wednesday, 27 June 2012

wow

I think this is 100% fine
His 3-bet size is very small, we have position and good pot:stack ratio postflop

It`s very different when you open 3bb and someone makes it 11bb - you literaly have about 40% more postflop play here. This is almost the mathematical equivalent of being 170bb deep and making it 3x and someone making it 11x

Also the way he played his hand on the flop turn and river suggests we can crush him postflop with a large variety of hands as long as we have position

If the river was Q through 2 that was not a spade we stack him almost 100% of the time , this is just a very unlucky river



...


I think if you turn your hand (dat QJo calling 3bet ip hand) into a preflop blocker game, it`s something most players are very adept with these days, you basically lower your edge because you can now be solved very easily via HUD, furthermore I`m sure hes gonna have decent shoving ranges pre given the preflop positions. By flatting you put him in a spot where he clearly had no idea what to do and you gained a massive edge (since his plan was to clearly close his eyes and clock check call any on every street)

Sunday, 17 June 2012

bluffing in spots where the opp cannot be strong is extremely effective (provided you rep some hands) since most ppl are too bad tto realize their opp cannot be strong.
(+ its so hard to realize you are being exploited there)

.. whether or not your opp can have AQ in his 3betting range on a Q high board is a really, really big deal
-> you can float Qxx when you call his 3bet since he cant have AQ, KQ there

Fact

even if u have no reads your opponent's will have certain tendencies based on stack sizes and the limits you play

Wednesday, 13 June 2012

party small stakes regs

bet when they DONT have it, than checks to you when they hit.

this is happening all the time

on flop play

  • Ppl only think the turn is the hardest street to play in poker because people play the flop so poorly.
  • Balanced betting ranges make dbl/triple barreling very easy.
  • Picking the right types of bluffs and using the right ratio of bluffs makes the following street very easy.

If u pick the right types of hands to bluff the flop with, lots of the times ull get almost spoon fed what turns you should bluff (lil SD value but good amount of Equity).

Than on the riv u usually wanna bluff with hands that have rly good removal effect,..

On the flop we dont have our bluffs nicely handed to us, its much more diff to know what to do

Tuesday, 12 June 2012

weird lines / adjustments due to history

..yet now since you and your opp are both playing so weirdly trying to exploit one another, as soon as one of you goes back to your default game you'll crush the other player.

Sunday, 10 June 2012

mixing it up on th flop (simplified)

- on very dry boards, u wanna raise much less

- on very wet boards, there are usually so many turn cards that put nut type hands into your range that you want to raise now for protection and know you can be strong on most turn cards anyways.

- when the board is in between, then u shoyuld slowplay some biog hands and raise some so your range is protected on the turn.

Thursday, 7 June 2012

need to play at least 200NL so I dont have to mess with the decimals when typing in betsize anymore

Sunday, 3 June 2012

wanna go for the glory?

A player who loves the intellectual challenge of the game and wants to play as high as possible will need a different approach (than just grind and learn techniques required to beat the games now).

-> much more emphasis on theory, hiring good coach etc.



Every serious player needs ppl he can discuss hands with. You cant have a back and forth conversation on the forums or watching a vid

Thursday, 31 May 2012

 I would say standard raise first in for 6-max is around 15% UTG, 20% MP, 28% CO, and 45% button

Wednesday, 30 May 2012

basic defending frequencies

vs 3/4 psb cbet

defend 60% of your range on the flop (we need to defend more if just call, less if we raise)

60% x 60% = 36% on the turn

60% x 60% x 60% = 21% on the river

Tuesday, 29 May 2012

realizing Equity

we're able to realize our equity very effectively with SCs, because when our equity is very low we fold and when it's higher we either can call or bluff raise effectively.

types of Equity

we can jam OESD + FD with 52% equity and it will be very likely +EV because it retains all or most of its equity against the opp's value betting and raising range.

if we did that with a pocket pair with 52% equity, we would get destroyed.

Friday, 25 May 2012

PLO 101


Other Tools & Info

WiltOnTilt’s Mathematics of NLHE:
http://www.deucescracked.com/videos/8-Mathematics_of_NL_Holdem/20-Season_Premiere

You can check this at propokertools beta using the “count” tool:
http://beta.propokertools.com/simulations

Use Excel to calculate complex cases

Sean Poker blog post:
“Breakdown of an Omaha Preflop Range”
http://seanpoker.net/518/articles/breakdown-of-an-omaha-preflop-range
“Omaha Preflop Range With ProPokerTools”
http://seanpoker.net/821/articles/omaha-preflop-range-with-propokertools

Tom “LearnedFromTV” Chambers PLO book:
http://plotheory.com/Book/tabid/77/Default.aspx

Tuesday, 22 May 2012

exploitative play for SSNL

* be very quick to fold when you are being shown aggression after betting yourself. (ppl dont bluff enough when you cant be strong, much less when you can be)


* slow down and ask yourself if your opp can be bluffing on later streets. Did he have to pass up a +EV bluff earlier? Is he capable of this? Most likely not

- e.g. we open CO w K6dd, BTN calls. flop Qh6s3d. we cbet, he calls. turn 2s goes x/x. riv is 2c, we check, he bets. now, hes almost NEVER bluffing here - this is marginal value hand trying to get value. we shuld NOT call.


*  I check back turns and VB riv small all the time vs regs.

- logic: when I bet the turn. I can threaten betting the riv. When I bet the riv the hand ends, and I don't trust him only folding to a single bet.

Sunday, 6 May 2012

EV =/= Equity

sometimes u gonna have a hand that has over 50% equity and gonna have to fold it

other times ull have a hand thats have only 15-20% equity and its gonna be incredibly +EV super ez call

basic math

#1
we cbet flop oop 6bb into 8bb. If we bet the turn 50% of the time, how often do we need to x/call or x/raise the turn so we prevent our opp to profitably peel w pure air OTF if we assume he'll bet 14bb into 20bb on the turn?

-6bb*(0.5) - 20bb(x) + 14(1-0.5-x) = 12%

#2
opp opens 3b in SB we 3bet to 10bb in BB he 4bets to 20bb we jam 100bb total.

how often does our 5bet bluff need to succeed if our hand has 33% eq?

200*33% = 66bb -> we get back when he calls
we lose 24bb when bluff fails cos we risk only 90bb (10 already in the pot)
we win 20+10 if bluff succeeds.

30bb(x) - 24bb(1-x) = 0, so x = 44,4%

FACT bet sizing

if we cbet 3/4 psb each street and flop pot size is 8bb

final pot size = 8bb * 2.5^3 = 125bb

Saturday, 5 May 2012

FACT

Matt Janda's vids so good for my game

omg Understanding Equity just made me realize I know nothing about this wicked game and insta improved my w/r by at least 1bb /100

I love this game.

Aejones - "always be protected" / Janda - "I very, very rarely will pull a big bluff with bad randomizers"

-> getting the nuts 10% of the time on the riv for free is HUGE

------------

cbetting and significance of polarizing a range.
- is it better to cbet T9hh on a QT4r board or x/call? What variables determine this?

Friday, 4 May 2012

Wednesday, 2 May 2012

spewing a lot lately, time to put my tight solid mode on, stop tryin to outplay everybody. give them some credit.

fold more
less peel 1 and give up. know when u can expect 2nd barrel with high freq

Tuesday, 1 May 2012

barreling

good turn cards to barrel - scare cards that dont hit their entire range

QT6ss, turn is 3s

dbl & triple barrel weak plrs when their ranges are face up and weak

Friday, 27 April 2012

Thursday, 26 April 2012

Wednesday, 25 April 2012

Caby on live games

-playing a day straight at a table that has a known fish at it. -keeping a happy but losing player having fun. some recreational players don't want to play against internet kids wearing hoodies and headphones. it's good for your bottom line to be friendly with these people. -making connections with people who can get you into juicy private games. (and then making a good impression on people in those private games).

Sunday, 22 April 2012

the most +EV things for my game

- HH review
- mental check pre session / daily routine
- good night out
- no music during sess
- INTENSE (no checking HEM, LP, web, music,..)
- accurately reading GAMEFLOW

Thursday, 19 April 2012

C - Game

Eliminate weaknesses ( C-Game) & improve skill (A-Game)

Saturday, 14 April 2012

FACT

ranges change a lot more when there are 3 random cards to come rather than 1

Friday, 13 April 2012

boywonder on daily routine:

 At the start of each single day, I need to set out doing some things that do not come naturally to me, wether it be exercise, studies, grinding or meditation. Then I have to follow that which I have outlined, for that particular day. That is a day I can be satisfied with when going to bed in the evening.

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

cool post http://www.leggopoker.com/blogs/isura/new-year-new-perspective-7191.html
Isura on handling poker as a business:


I try to keep it simple,and be conscious of my long term goals. I like to think in terms of tangible and attainable small steps that get me closer to my ultimate goal. 

Eg. Weekly goals
- Swim 3 times a week
- Study hands for 2 hours x 4 days 
- Meditate 15 minutes, mentally prepare for my day. 
- Stick to my session stop loss 
- Record myself for 1 hour and review it 

Regarding specific technical issues like 3-bet pots. Set a goal like 
- study at every 3bet pot in last 10k hands to familiarize yourself with typical ranges in 3-bet pots. 
- Run pokerstove with ranges in 3bet pots, repeat repeat until I feel very confident with my equity with specific hands on different board textures 
poker is highly unstructured, performance activity

Wednesday, 28 March 2012

playing marginal hands oop

"i've been seeing spots like this pretty often, where you just want to turn your weakish pairs into a bluff. not the same but a similiar scenario occurs pretty dayum often. some dude raises and you flat, lets say 88 from the bb against a lateish open (cutoff or button, lets say), flop T73ss. Not sure if best example, but I see myself just check raising here a TON. basically when you flat on a board like this, it's pretty dayum hard to represent anything strong (you will probably be checkraising all combo draws, some nutted flush draws, sets, blah blah blah) when you flat it'll just make your hand look like it is (a weakish 1 pair type hand), and it's going to be very hard to play profitably on future streets against a competent opponent). if called you have the option of giving up, turning your hand into a bluff on some flush completing cards, or some turns that give you a gutshut, and then possibly jam some rivers, etc etc, "




--> you are just better of turning your hand into a bluff  or folding (makes it easier to play. calling is the worst option)

--> RLY IMPORTANT CONCEPT --> polarized range much easier to play. u dont wanna call and play guessing games.

Monday, 19 March 2012

motivation to start grindin

theory videos
- learning something new / fine tuning piece of my game and wanting to try it out

Sunday, 18 March 2012

constructing a range

its obv that 7 high boards will occur much less likely than K high boards
- missing 7x hands in ur 3bet defending range is not that bad as missing Kx hands

Wednesday, 14 March 2012

u want edge over other regs??

keep asking these questions:

If we continuation bet in the CO vs button on a Qh Th 5c board, what is the worst hand he's realistically going to call down with?

matt:

#1 mistake they are making: not bluff raising enough. (dat Q95ss flop, u have to bluff raise a shit ton there)


"at nl200, almost every big winner had very high fold bet to flop raise"

Sunday, 11 March 2012

aejones on bluffing

if you think someone's range is weak to get to the river (if you're a similar player to them think if you're in their shoes and your range would be weak) and then try to bluff them off of it would be my best advice. use your own empirical evidence to remember spots where guys have hands that would have trouble calling the river and your range is strong. bomb away.


u want to fire 1 OR 3 barrels. 2 barrel bluffs are exceptions on specific boards.

Tuesday, 6 March 2012

big leak for reals

of almost every reg at small stakes is pasive speww - they just call wayy too much (pf 3bets, float flops way too light)

+ they giving up way too much on later streets (peeling flop raise with wide range and folding most turns,..)

--> exploit the way your games play

during session

keep that insight like when watching theory video and playing 1-2 tables on a side.

your win rate will skyrocket

on 3bet bluffing

matt janda vids always puts me in the optimal/sharp mindset for grinding.

"you aren't going to get comfortable playing TPNK and likes in 3-bet pots until you start forcing yourself to get into those spots. These spots are unavoidable. You will have to deal with it if you flop K or 7 high and get played back at."

"most ppl at 100nl and lower don't 3bet bluff enough, so u can exploit them by never 4bet bluffing"
dont 4bet bluff unknowns. save ur 4bets for known good regs


"facing a 3bet vs unknown - u open the CO. SB 3bets you. What hands should you 4bet bluff? NONE
- you need him to fold more than 60% of the time which they prolly wont. Your 4bet range should be all value and yor calling range stronger than optimal (folding AJ, 88,..).  [me: call AK,QQ. 4bet KK+ ]

Sunday, 26 February 2012

srsly

I have some awful tendency - whenever I face close decision I tend to just shove the money in the pot and end up paying off too many bad players cos their range is very much weighted towards value

Wednesday, 22 February 2012

on small stakes preflop wars

bleeding with my 4bet/ 5bet bluffing - they play way tighter than I think.

bleeding with my 3bet calling range - same as above.

if they 3bet my BTN w AQ+, TT+, just play back w QQ+, AK+ and crush their range.

muck QQ,AK in EP

def no harm in making my PF value 3/4/5bet range stronger, as I am getting it in too often flipping or behind

Tuesday, 21 February 2012

life tilt

gg gl.

saw it coming tho. running bad / break even w lots of things lately.


 gotta not let the shit get to me and power through

Friday, 17 February 2012

routine

weekday

- pushups
- bfest (protein)
- critical time: dont procrast. fuck browsing n shit. fire deez tables
- !![ hand review ]

- set ONE topic u'll focus on during sessions to make it more fun
- e.g. regs polarized vbetting, etc..

- set adjustments u'll make - e.g. dont cbet most boards OOP vs station w/o equity
- session

- LIGHT lunch
- pro video to get u on track

- session
- jogg

- 6-10pm - critical/worst performance time, maybe throw in some trnys, w/e, chat w/ someone

- review/ post hands


[ IMPROVE ]
----------------------------------------------------------------------
- go through your marked hands v pstove. plugin ranges. do this DAILY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
- post hands




Pre session
- get ur mindset right
- goals, focus, recognition
- srs approach, but have fun
- stay open, rdy to rcieve info, positive. vedome sleduj co ukazujou souperi pri SDs


- realize concrete topic u'll focus/work on
- no half assed sessions (playin 2-3 tables and doin some other shit). focus


In session routine
----------------------
- [ OBSERVE. OBSERVE ]
----------------------

- things to think about
- worst hand to cbet on this flop
- worst hand to peel
- worst hand to raise as bluff/ value

- asses/update ranges
- whats the bulk of his range in current spot? what can i expect to see at SD
- how wide of a range of his brute PF range is he cbetting ??
- how wide of a range is he arriving at flop? 3btd flop?
- how they play TP - x T IP for pcntrl? , SD value, draws, Air


- watch SDs
- -> so u can VB more accurate/thin vs fish - did he SD 95s in reraised pot?
- taggish plr flats my open w 64s oop ?


- mental check list
  ------------------------------
- [ check urself u playin A-Game ]  (poneti o svym image na kazdym stole, kdo pro/vyhral posledni

velkej pot,..)
  ------------------------------
- recognize triggers of tilt / sloppy game

- when variation happens during sess
- deep breath, calm down, gain perspective

- dont check HEM how much u up/down

- focus on mark, not on regs
- ur actions and thoughts - meaningful/effective
- when facing marginal spot - realize u want to be able grind for the rest of the day + rake is killin u
playing terrible this month. dropped to 25NL to minimise  damage.

wtf misread board // http://www.pokerhand.org/?6324414

Monday, 6 February 2012

adjustaments

Locoo: If he is a good competent player i would never try to wait it out as I would probably get completly crushed, gotta combat aggresiveness w agresiveness and do it better than him, hes gonna have shitty ranges all the time so buckle up and get ready for some swingy poker
quite proud/happy how am handlin all that bs runbad w b's and upc

Monday, 30 January 2012

started out dropping 3bi, got mad pissed, went for run.

turned out to be the best idea - pulled out solid sess afterwards, 1k hands at 4pm

shit rly works

nasty downswing

affecting me more than I want //

Saturday, 28 January 2012

golden

Janda: The best players know a combination of theory, general villain tendencies for their stakes, and how to exploit each common opp specifically.

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

oop

I just suck playing oop, even when I have the initiative.

I know its heavily opp dependant and you need reads on your opp post flop play.

Ending up x/f or calling and spewing into better hand too often i guess.

would be great to have some vid or something to study

Sunday, 22 January 2012

Friday, 20 January 2012

A-game

read this 

and pulled up one of the best sessions A-game wise in last couple months.

knowing my ranges, picking/randomizing right hands to defend/cbet flops with.. folding/not spewing correctly

edit: session after that was playing already quite tired and it was pretty atrocious //

http://www.pokerhand.org/?6301544

http://www.pokerhand.org/?6301545

and misread board //

http://www.pokerhand.org/?6301546

Thursday, 19 January 2012

plz dont spew

started out today quite loose and spewy, tryin outplay ppl, fps style. started losing after a while obv.

so took I break, started 6 tbls w clear head, determined not to spew and play tight/solid and obv it worked like a charm and I was back in green in no time

Tuesday, 17 January 2012

playing dumb

playing too loose, spewing..

time for 20mins tite solid sess

time to start thinking like a poker player again. even tho its not easy

practice solid thought process

Wednesday, 11 January 2012

Sunday, 8 January 2012



8hrs, 2600 hands

had a good night out yesterday,cleaned my head up and pulled this session. yay

how opps just let me be when I was sittin w 2+ bi at the table, even tho I was opening and isoing kinda wild